NAME: Electric Bill Data TYPE: Sample SIZE: 120 observations, 13 variables DESCRIPTIVE ABSTRACT: The dollar amount for a monthly (January 1991 through December 2000) household electric bill is presented as a time series. In addition, potential explanatory variables are included. Twelve representative monthly values are provided for the average temperature, for heating degree days, and for cooling degree days (not for each month for each year). Additional variables give the family size each month and indicate when a new electric meter and new heating and cooling equipment was installed. To convert the billing amount to estimated power consumption, a tiered rate function (supplied in the accompanying Instructor's Manual) and the costs of associated riders (provided here) must be used. Consumption estimates resulting from this information are supplied. SOURCES: Personal data records were used for the actual billing amount and other household variables. Temperature and heating and cooling degree days can be retrieved from NOAA sites such as http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/documentlibrary/hcs/hcs.html. Heating and cooling degree days computation methods were revised in July 2002. DATASET LAYOUT: Column Description Label 1 - 3 Observation number NUM 5 - 8 Year YEAR 10 - 12 Month MONTH 14 - 19 Amount of bill (in dollars), BILL includes 5% sales tax 21 - 24 Average temperature (in degrees Fahrenheit) TEMP 26 - 29 Heating Degree Days HDD 31 - 33 Cooling Degree Days CDD 35 Number of family members at home SIZE 37 New meter? (indicator variable, 1 = yes) METER 39 New heat pump 1? (indicator variable, 1= new) PUMP1 41 New heat pump 2? (indicator variable, 1= new) PUMP2 43 - 52 Total charge (per kwh) for all riders RIDER TOTAL 54 - 58 Calculated consumption (in kwh) CONSUMPTION The dataset contains values for January 1991 through December 2000. The values are aligned and delimited by spaces. Missing values are denoted by "*." SPECIAL NOTES: The entry for the BILL in January 1994 is missing. The entry of $0.00 for August 1999 is correct. This value prompted the power company to replace the electric meter. Heating Degree Days is defined as the cumulative number of degrees in a month by which the mean temperature falls below 65 degrees. These values are thirty-year averages for this geographic location. Cooling Degree Days is defined as the cumulative number of degrees in a month by which the mean temperature rises above 65 degrees. These values are thirty-year averages for this geographic location. Twelve values are provided for Average Temperature, Heating Degree Days, and Cooling Degree Days. These values repeat over the course of the time series. PEDAGOGICAL NOTES These data are appropriate to use in statistics classes at a variety of levels. Using only the billing amounts, the data provide a time series for students to examine visually for seasonal patterns and trend. Analysis could lead to the discussion of the treatment of missing values and outliers, but if this is beyond the scope of the course, the instructor could certainly adjust the values for those periods prior to giving the data to the students. This time series is quite effective for teaching seasonal decomposition and other forecasting techniques. When additional variables are incorporated, it is a good application for multiple regression. The data can also be used for spreadsheet exercises. SUBMITTED BY: Constance McLaren Analytical Department Indiana State University Terre Haute, IN 47809 USA c-mclaren@indstate.edu Bruce McLaren Organizational Department Indiana State University Terre Haute, IN 47809 USA b-mclaren@indstate.edu --